|  
 Cracking the Bottlenecks December 12, 2006 - EnergyBiz Magazine Federal regulators are revving up. They’re 
                            preparing to take steps to begin building new transmission 
                            lines, particularly lines that are considered vital 
                            to the national interest. It’s all part of the objectives 
                            of the Energy Policy Act of 2005, which include constructing 
                            a grid that is in tune with a modern economy and a 
                            digital society. Transmission planning has long been 
                            an onerous process.  Intellectually, everyone understands 
                            the need to carry electrons from one point to another 
                            in the most physically and economically efficient 
                            manner possible. But disagreements abound over where 
                            to put the poles and wires that will facilitate that 
                            process. Problems therefore persist, namely tightly 
                            constrained grids that may cause transmission operators 
                            to curtail service.  The Energy Policy Act gives the Federal 
                            Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) backstop permitting 
                            authority as a way to get important transmission built. 
                            Specifically, the U.S. secretary of energy can designate 
                            national interest electric corridors in those areas 
                            that have capacity constraints or congestion. The 
                            states still have first crack at the process. But 
                            the federal government will step in if state law precludes 
                            consideration of interstate benefits and if the state 
                            takes longer than one year to act after an application 
                            is filed.  “It is important to note that our regulations 
                            are intended to supplement the traditional state siting 
                            process,” said FERC Chairman Joseph Kelliher. “I would 
                            expect that most transmission projects would continue 
                            to be sited by states under state law. Our jurisdiction 
                            to issue a construction permit applies only under 
                            limited circumstances, and our proposed rules respect 
                            those limits.”  The commission does not have a blank 
                            check. A proposal brought before it to build or expand 
                            electric transmission facilities must be used for 
                            interstate commerce, be consistent with the public 
                            interest, significantly reduce transmission congestion 
                            and maximize existing towers and structures. Under 
                            all circumstances, the review process is to be extensive 
                            and the public is to remain involved.  Power purchasers need unfettered access 
                            to the nation’s grid in order to supply electricity 
                            whenever and wherever it is needed. But transmission 
                            constraints limit the amount of energy that can be 
                            transferred to a load center. Grid operators must 
                            then find alternative routes, which often demand more 
                            costly forms of generation. Congestion therefore has 
                            its price.  Is that cost enough to justify building 
                            new transmission lines? Well, that’s been the subject 
                            of a lot of Department of Energy (DOE) studies. In 
                            August, DOE designated the area from New York City 
                            to Washington, as well as all of southern California, 
                            as “critical.” That is, new lines are definitely needed. 
                            DOE found that New England, the Phoenix-Tucson area, 
                            the Seattle-Portland region and San Francisco were 
                            “areas of concern.” The next step is to review the 
                            comments that come in and then plan a course of action. 
                           The New York State Public Service Commission 
                            says that congestion is now defined in nebulous terms 
                            — referring to areas where bottlenecks create price 
                            spikes, subsequently harming consumers and economic 
                            activity. FERC should thus adopt a “clear economic 
                            measure of congestion” that considers national concerns, 
                            and one in which projects are paid for by the beneficiaries. 
                            Such an objective view would narrow the list of sites 
                            that might be viewed as vital to the national interest. 
                           Money Needed  Transmission investment declined in 
                            real terms, from 1975 to 1998. While there have been 
                            increases since 1998, FERC says that the level of 
                            investment is still less than it was in 1975. Over 
                            the same time period, however, the demand for electricity 
                            has doubled. That’s resulted in a significant decrease 
                            in transmission capacity, requiring that new lines 
                            be built.  The Energy Department also continues 
                            to assert that regional transmission organizations, 
                            independent operators that schedule power deliveries, 
                            should take a leadership role. As such, PJM Interconnection 
                            has asked the department to designate two electrical 
                            paths as vital based on authority granted to it by 
                            the energy act. They are the Allegheny Mountain Path 
                            that extends from West Virginia and serves the Baltimore-Washington 
                            region and the Delaware River Path that serves the 
                            areas around Philadelphia, New Jersey and Delaware. 
                           The corridor designations address needs 
                            that result from continuing growth in electricity 
                            use, local generating plant closings, limited construction 
                            of new generating facilities and aging transmission 
                            infrastructure, according to PJM. In 2005, transmission 
                            congestion totaled $747 million on the Allegheny Mountain 
                            Path, and $464 million on the Delaware River Path. 
                            The proposed designation also will assist in the development 
                            of renewable resources such as wind power, in addition 
                            to bringing other new and existing resources to a 
                            broader market.  “Expansion of the electric transmission 
                            grid and the consideration of alternatives are needed 
                            in these key areas to ensure reliability and lower 
                            electricity costs,” said Phillip Harris, CEO of PJM. 
                            “Congress and the president provided a mechanism in 
                            the Energy Policy Act to ensure that transmission 
                            constraints that adversely impact national interests 
                            can be addressed in a timely manner. We appreciate 
                            federal leadership and believe these paths and the 
                            critical needs of these large metropolitan areas make 
                            them the very type of national interest concerns to 
                            which Congress was referring.”  ISO New England, meanwhile, says that 
                            about $900 million is needed for upgrades to maintain 
                            reliability and efficiency. Southwest Connecticut 
                            in particular has one of the most severely constrained 
                            transmission systems in New England. All told, more 
                            than 30 transmission projects have been planned or 
                            proposed for the Northeast, although FERC says that 
                            it still won’t be enough to relieve the expected transmission 
                            shortage.  The energy law stipulates that FERC 
                            does have the authority to act, although it cannot 
                            take final action and issue a construction permit 
                            until one year has passed. In any event, FERC emphasizes 
                            that the permitting process must remain transparent 
                            and inclusive, and that pre-filing is a means by which 
                            developers can circumvent problems. The transmission 
                            siting provisions enacted last year do not pre-empt 
                            the states; rather, they supplement that process and 
                            FERC expects the states to make the vast majority 
                            of determinations. Breaking Ties  While the subsequent legal battles are 
                            well intended and are meant to ensure that the permitting 
                            process is honest, they create bottlenecks that perpetuate 
                            uncertainty. Investors are skeptical about supplying 
                            capital because they can make more money in alternative 
                            investments while the delays impede reliability.  “Transmission is the most difficult 
                            infrastructure project to site and more so than generation,” 
                            said Ron Poff, with American Electric Power (AEP). 
                            “You can get support from politicians. But when the 
                            notin- my-backyard factor weighs in, the politicians 
                            will pull the rip cord.”  AEP has a particularly compelling story 
                            to tell. In 1990, it sought permission to build an 
                            89-mile transmission line through West Virginia and 
                            Virginia. Sixteen years later, after many twists and 
                            turns, the project finally began transmitting power 
                            — it’s a “poster child” for the transmission provisions 
                            within the new energy law, Poff said. To be sure, 
                            AEP had to rethink its route because of the area’s 
                            rivers and wildlife. The 765-kilovolt deal was needed 
                            and won the necessary concessions.  The proposed 200-mile New York Regional 
                            Interconnection (NYRI) project could be the first 
                            test of the new energy law and whether FERC’s backstop 
                            authority is real. Concerns about the line prompted 
                            the state’s public service commission to say in May 
                            that the proposal is “incomplete.” In the meantime, 
                            state legislators have stepped in and now vow to block 
                            the deal.  “Opposition to NYRI has been widespread 
                            because citizen concern extends far beyond its effects 
                            on views and natural landscape to include issues of 
                            energy policy, private property laws, corporate transparency, 
                            good government, economic fairness and natural habitat,” 
                            said Lynn Phillips, a citizen activist in New York 
                            City.  Looking to the future, FERC can now 
                            authorize a greater return on transmission projects 
                            so as to motivate investors. It’s all having some 
                            effect: PEPCO has proposed a $1.2 billion line that 
                            would run 230 miles and cross through Virginia, Maryland 
                            and New Jersey — a line to be built exactly where 
                            the Energy Department says the need is critical.  Indeed, none of this is to say that 
                            developers would ever be able to railroad projects. 
                            All transmission lines must go through an exhaustive 
                            permitting process and, in the end, the footprint 
                            they would leave behind must do the least environmental 
                            damage possible while still being economically and 
                            physically efficient. Often, the parties are able 
                            to agree on alternative paths — all to meet an expected 
                            growth in future electrical demand.  In those instances in which agreement 
                            cannot be reached, FERC would now have the power to 
                            step in and break the tie. But, the commission has 
                            similar rights when it comes to permitting natural 
                            gas pipelines — a process still mired in time-consuming 
                            court fights and regulatory battles. 
   |